IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
North Alabama
Atlantic Sun
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.6	#277
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.9	#93
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-3.7	#278

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.4%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	16.0

.500 or above	51.8%	60.9%	34.4%
.500 or above in Conference	50.2%	55.5%	40.0%
Conference Champion	7.5%	9.0%	4.7%
Last Place in Conference	0.3%	0.2%	0.4%

First Four	0.3%	0.3%	0.4%
First Round	0.3%	0.3%	0.3%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 65.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 0	0 - 1
Quad 3	1 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 4	9 - 6	10 - 10

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Dec 02, 2020	300	Jackson St.	W	73-69	66%
Dec 10, 2020	281	Troy	W	76-73	62%
Dec 13, 2020	24	@ Indiana	L	61-84	2%
Dec 16, 2020	343	Alabama A&M	W	76-63	88%
Dec 31, 2020	241	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	67-72	35%
Jan 02, 2021	241	@ Florida Gulf Coast	L	67-72	34%
Jan 08, 2021	250	Stetson	W	69-67	57%
Jan 09, 2021	250	Stetson	W	69-67	57%
Jan 15, 2021	342	@ Kennesaw St.	W	74-67	72%
Jan 16, 2021	342	@ Kennesaw St.	W	74-67	72%
Jan 22, 2021	297	Jacksonville	W	73-69	64%
Jan 23, 2021	297	Jacksonville	W	73-69	63%
Jan 29, 2021	218	@ North Florida	L	76-82	32%
Jan 30, 2021	218	@ North Florida	L	76-82	33%
Feb 12, 2021	147	Liberty	L	61-66	36%
Feb 13, 2021	147	Liberty	L	61-66	36%
Feb 18, 2021	292	@ Bellarmine	L	63-65	43%
Feb 20, 2021	292	@ Bellarmine	L	63-65	43%
Feb 26, 2021	170	Lipscomb	L	73-76	40%
Feb 27, 2021	170	Lipscomb	L	73-76	40%
Projected Record						10 - 10	8 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0		Total
1st											0.1	0.9	2.1	2.0	1.7	0.5	0.2		7.5	1st
2nd									0.0	0.3	2.1	3.8	2.8	0.8	0.1				9.9	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.5	3.0	5.1	2.5	0.4						11.6	3rd
4th							0.0	0.5	3.8	5.4	2.3	0.3							12.3	4th
5th						0.0	1.1	4.7	5.8	1.8	0.1								13.4	5th
6th					0.1	1.6	5.3	5.3	1.6	0.1									14.1	6th
7th				0.3	2.1	5.1	4.3	1.2	0.1										13.1	7th
8th		0.1	1.1	3.3	4.4	2.7	0.7	0.1											12.3	8th
9th	0.3	1.2	2.0	1.6	0.6	0.1													5.7	9th
10th																				10th

Total	0.3	1.3	3.1	5.3	7.2	9.5	11.4	11.8	11.8	10.6	9.8	7.4	5.3	2.8	1.8	0.5	0.2			Total

Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
16-0	100.0%	0.2		0.2
15-1	100.0%	0.5		0.5	0.0
14-2	93.9%	1.7		1.4	0.3
13-3	71.8%	2.0		1.2	0.7	0.1
12-4	40.5%	2.1		0.8	1.0	0.3	0.0
11-5	11.9%	0.9		0.1	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
10-6	1.2%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	7.5%	7.5		4.3	2.4	0.8	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
16-0	0.2%																							0.2
15-1	0.5%																							0.5
14-2	1.8%		0.1%	0.1%		13.0														0.0				1.8
13-3	2.8%		0.6%	0.6%		14.9														0.0		0.0		2.8
12-4	5.3%		0.4%	0.4%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	5.2
11-5	7.4%		1.1%	1.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	7.3
10-6	9.8%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	9.7
9-7	10.6%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	10.5
8-8	11.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.8
7-9	11.8%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.1	11.7
6-10	11.4%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	11.4
5-11	9.5%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
4-12	7.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
3-13	5.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
2-14	3.1%																							3.1
1-15	1.3%																							1.3
0-16	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.4	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%